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Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fi halen b\u00fcy\u00fck bir zorluk olmaya devam etmekte, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda 370 milyondan fazla ki\u015fi yetersiz beslenme sorunu ya\u015famakta, bu da d\u00fcnya genelindeki toplam\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Orta gelirli \u00fclkeler, \u00f6zellikle G\u00fcney ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya’daki \u00fclkeler, yerel \u00fcretimde kronik eksiklikler, ithalata y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k ve d\u0131\u015f \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 artan savunmas\u0131zl\u0131k ya\u015f\u0131yor. \u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri, kurakl\u0131klar\u0131, selleri ve s\u0131cak hava dalgalar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak tar\u0131msal verimlili\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek bu durumu daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftiriyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki enflasyon veya ticari aksamalar gibi ekonomik krizler, k\u00fcresel g\u0131da a\u011flar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Yak\u0131n zamanda yap\u0131lan bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, 2000-2023 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda b\u00f6lgedeki 23 \u00fclkede g\u0131da sistemlerinin savunmas\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 analiz etti. Sonu\u00e7lar, kurakl\u0131klar\u0131n \u015fiddeti ve g\u0131da ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca risk fakt\u00f6rleri oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu iki fakt\u00f6r\u00fcn etkile\u015fimi, riski neredeyse %40 oran\u0131nda art\u0131rarak k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 zor bir k\u0131s\u0131r d\u00f6ng\u00fc yarat\u0131yor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Banglade\u015f veya Pakistan gibi \u00fclkeler, iklim \u015foklar\u0131ndan sonra ithalata y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 nedeniyle savunmas\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Tar\u0131m alan\u0131ndaki kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, bu savunmas\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltmada kilit bir rol oynuyor. Tar\u0131msal harcamalardaki %10’luk bir art\u0131\u015f, be\u015f y\u0131l i\u00e7inde savunmas\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 %4,3 oran\u0131nda azalt\u0131yor ve orta gelirli \u00fclkelerde bu etki daha da belirgin oluyor. Bu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ayr\u0131ca kurakl\u0131klar\u0131n olumsuz etkilerini de yakla\u015f\u0131k %28 oran\u0131nda hafifletiyor. Bununla birlikte, ithalata a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k, en zengin ekonomilerde bile k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00fclkeleri k\u00fcresel fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131na ve para birimi istikrars\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131na maruz b\u0131rak\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirilmeden, b\u00f6lgedeki g\u0131da savunmas\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar %8,9 oran\u0131nda artabilir. Ancak, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 tar\u0131ma yat\u0131r\u0131m, ticaretin \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmesi ve kapsay\u0131c\u0131 kalk\u0131nman\u0131n bir arada uyguland\u0131\u011f\u0131 entegre stratejiler, bu savunmas\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 %21,6 oran\u0131nda azaltabilir. Bu \u00f6nlemler aras\u0131nda tar\u0131msal b\u00fct\u00e7elerin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, k\u0131rsal altyap\u0131n\u0131n modernize edilmesi ve \u00f6zellikle kad\u0131nlar lehine hedeflenmi\u015f sosyal koruma yer al\u0131yor. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli \u00fclkeler, kamu harcamalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015ftan en fazla fayday\u0131 sa\u011flarken, daha ileri ekonomilerin bu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 iklime uyum sa\u011flamak ve b\u00f6lgesel ticaret anla\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in optimize etmeleri gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011finin yaln\u0131zca yerel \u00fcretime veya uluslararas\u0131 ticarete de\u011fil, ikisinin bir kombinasyonuna ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. \u00dclkeler, riskleri s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in hem yeterli \u00fcretim kapasitelerini art\u0131rmal\u0131 hem de tedarik kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmelidir. Sim\u00fclasyonlar ayr\u0131ca, e\u015fitlik ve kaynaklara eri\u015fim yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n, k\u0131rsal altyap\u0131 veya sosyal koruma gibi, sadece adil de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda sistemik dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k in\u015fa etmek i\u00e7in de temel oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
“`<\/p>\n
DOI\u00a0:<\/strong> https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1186\/s40066-026-00639-3<\/a><\/p>\n Titre\u00a0:<\/strong> Vulnerability of agricultural food systems to climate and economic shocks: a hybrid machine learning and dynamic panel analysis of Asia-Pacific<\/p>\n Revue : <\/strong> Agriculture & Food Security<\/p>\n \u00c9diteur : <\/strong> Springer Science and Business Media LLC<\/p>\n Auteurs : <\/strong> Yudi Ferrianta; Nuri Dewi Yanti<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" “`html Asya g\u0131da sistemleri iklim ve ticaret taraf\u0131ndan tehdit ediliyor Asya-Pasifik b\u00f6lgesinde g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fi halen b\u00fcy\u00fck bir zorluk olmaya devam etmekte, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda 370 milyondan fazla ki\u015fi yetersiz beslenme sorunu ya\u015famakta, bu da d\u00fcnya genelindeki toplam\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Orta gelirli \u00fclkeler, \u00f6zellikle G\u00fcney ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya’daki \u00fclkeler, yerel \u00fcretimde kronik eksiklikler, ithalata y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k ve… Okumaya devam et Asya g\u0131da sistemleri iklim ve ticaret taraf\u0131ndan tehdit ediliyor<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,2,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cevre","category-toplum","category-uluslararasi","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26,"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25\/revisions\/26"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalagriculturejournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}